Anthropic files its S-1, coding agents cost up to 75% less to run, and Microsoft offers 60,000 buyouts

2 hours ago

Anthropic filed its S-1: $16.3 billion of revenue in the first half of 2026, a loss that is mostly on paper, and Claude writing over 90% of the company's own code. Also from Monday's Hacker News front page: why Claude and GPT prices fell so fast, IBM's case for open-weight models on-prem, and Microsoft's buyout offer to about 60,000 employees. Anthropic S-1 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2130357/000162828026067168/anthropicpbc-sx1.htm Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50242939 OpenAI and Anthropic cut their LLM prices by up to 80% within a few months. Why? by Max Woolf https://minimaxir.com/2026/10/cheap-llms/ Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50236102 IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem, The Register https://www.theregister.com/systems/2026/10/22/ibm-ceo-says-open-weight-models-are-now-irresistibly-good-and-cheap-on-prem/5304640 Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50238088 jacquesm on running open models locally: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50238737 Microsoft offers mass buyouts for roughly a quarter of its workforce, The Seattle Times https://www.seattletimes.com/business/microsoft/microsoft-offers-mass-buyouts-for-roughly-a-quarter-of-its-workforce/ Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50245524 ecshafer on the choice the offer forces: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50245779 The front page that day: https://news.ycombinator.com/front?day=2026-10-26

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Chapters

  1. 0:00Anthropic files to go public
  2. 0:31Most of the loss is on paper
  3. 0:56Claude writes Anthropic's code
  4. 1:22Agent tokens got cheaper
  5. 2:01Open-weight models on-prem
  6. 2:42Microsoft buyouts
Show transcript
  1. On Monday's HN front page, Anthropic filed its S-1, the paperwork to sell its shares to the public. Anthropic brought in about 16 billion dollars in the first half of 2026, more than three times its revenue for all of 2025. For anyone who builds on Claude or Claude Code, the business behind the tools you pay for is now out in the open: what it earns, what it loses, and which risks it worries about.

    Slide text

    Anthropic files to go public with $16.3 billion of revenue in six months

    All of 2025
    $4.6B
    January to June 2026
    $16.3B
  2. The loss for those six months is almost 81 billion dollars. About 72 billion of it is on paper: convertible notes and SAFEs that were marked up as Anthropic's valuation climbed. That leaves a loss of roughly 8 billion dollars. The filing names open-weight models as a source of pressure on its prices, and that pressure is already showing up in what you pay per token.

    Slide text

    Most of Anthropic's $80.7 billion half-year loss is on paper

    Net loss, January to June 2026: $80.7B
    $72.4B
    Convertible notes and SAFEs revalued
    as the company's valuation rose
    $8.3B
    The rest of the loss
  3. Inside Anthropic, Claude wrote more than 90 percent of the contributions to the company's own codebase in September. Each engineer now adds more than 45 times as much code a day as the average in 2024. Anthropic has about 5,300 employees, and it builds Claude Code mostly with Claude Code, so the tool you use is the one its own engineers depend on every day.

    Slide text

    Claude wrote over 90% of the code going into Anthropic's codebase in September

    90%+
    of contributions to Anthropic's codebase in September 2026 were written by Claude
    45×
    as much code per engineer per day, July to September 2026, as the 2024 average
  4. Running a coding agent costs a lot less than it did in June. In an agent session, cached tokens are 96 to 99 percent of what you pay for, because every turn sends the whole conversation again. So the cut that matters is the cache price. Opus 5.5 charges 20 cents per million cached tokens, down from 50 on Opus 5, and GPT-6.1 Sol charges 10 cents. Together that makes Opus 5.5 about half the cost of Opus 5, and the Sol line about 75 percent cheaper. If you're choosing a model for agent work, compare the cache price first.

    Slide text

    Opus 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol cut the price that dominates a coding agent's bill

    ModelInputOutputCache read
    Claude Opus 5 · July$5$25$0.50
    Claude Opus 5.5 · September$4$20$0.20
    GPT-5.6 Sol · June$5$30$0.50
    GPT-6.1 Sol · September$2$10$0.10
    US dollars per million tokens
  5. IBM's chief executive, Arvind Krishna, told investors that open-weight models are now about 90 percent as good as the frontier models, for a tenth to a quarter of the token cost. He puts most enterprise work in that cheaper tier, such as summarizing an email, examining a contract or answering a customer call. It fits in two or three racks on-prem, and the hard part is staff who can cluster the GPUs and cache the results. In the thread, jacquesm runs an eight-GPU rig and two DGX Sparks, and hasn't paid for a model in months.

    Slide text

    IBM's CEO says most enterprise AI work now fits open-weight models on your own racks

    Summarizing an email
    Examining a contract
    Answering a customer call
    Two or three racksKernel engineers, GPU networking and caching still needed
  6. Microsoft is offering voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees, roughly a quarter of the company, with a standard severance package. Gaming, Windows and Copilot take part fully, the AI and cloud teams partly, and security stays out. Vice presidents and below in the United States, Canada, India and the UK have until early December to decide. In the thread, ecshafer lays out the bind: take the money and job-hunt against thousands of former colleagues, or stay and hope a layoff doesn't follow.

    Slide text

    Microsoft offers buyouts to about 60,000 employees, a quarter of its workforce

    Fully in

    • Gaming
    • Windows
    • Copilot
    • HR and finance

    Partly in

    • AI
    • Cloud
    • Legal

    Not taking part

    • Security
    • Marketing
    • Commercial business
    Vice president and below in the US, Canada, India and the UK · decide by early December

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